Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000206 0.000228 0.000252 0.000280 0.000310 0.000344 0.000384
2025-09-28 0.000159 0.000190 0.000226 0.000271 0.000327 0.000393 0.000479
2025-10-05 0.000137 0.000173 0.000217 0.000277 0.000355 0.000456 0.000596
2025-10-12 0.000122 0.000160 0.000211 0.000282 0.000381 0.000516 0.000716
2025-10-19 0.000108 0.000147 0.000201 0.000280 0.000395 0.000560 0.000819
2025-10-26 0.000098 0.000139 0.000195 0.000282 0.000415 0.000613 0.000941
2025-11-02 0.000089 0.000129 0.000187 0.000279 0.000424 0.000651 0.001044
2025-11-09 0.000082 0.000121 0.000181 0.000278 0.000437 0.000695 0.001162
2025-11-16 0.000075 0.000113 0.000173 0.000273 0.000443 0.000728 0.001265
2025-11-23 0.000068 0.000105 0.000164 0.000266 0.000443 0.000751 0.001352
2025-11-30 0.000064 0.000102 0.000163 0.000270 0.000463 0.000811 0.001516
2025-12-07 0.000061 0.000099 0.000162 0.000275 0.000486 0.000876 0.001701
2025-12-14 0.000057 0.000093 0.000155 0.000270 0.000489 0.000910 0.001832
2025-12-21 0.000051 0.000086 0.000146 0.000260 0.000484 0.000927 0.001933
2025-12-28 0.000049 0.000084 0.000145 0.000266 0.000508 0.001006 0.002184
2026-01-04 0.000047 0.000082 0.000144 0.000270 0.000532 0.001086 0.002454
2026-01-11 0.000044 0.000078 0.000140 0.000268 0.000541 0.001137 0.002663
2026-01-18 0.000042 0.000076 0.000138 0.000271 0.000560 0.001213 0.002949
2026-01-25 0.000039 0.000072 0.000134 0.000267 0.000566 0.001258 0.003165
2026-02-01 0.000037 0.000069 0.000131 0.000266 0.000577 0.001319 0.003435
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000066 0.000127 0.000262 0.000580 0.001357 0.003651
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000062 0.000121 0.000255 0.000576 0.001379 0.003823
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000061 0.000121 0.000259 0.000598 0.001474 0.004237